Publicus: Leni needs miracle to win
LENI Robredo needs a major miracle to win in the May 9 elections, according to survey firm Publicus Asia.
The latest Publicus poll survey result showed little if not insignificant movements in the numbers of all the candidates, with frontrunner Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ Marcos Jr. still enjoying what looks like an insurmountable lead barely four weeks left in the presidential race.
In the March 30-April 6 pre-election poll result that was culled nationwide from 1,500 respondents, Marcos received 56% preferential votes as compared to Robredo’s 24%, which is good enough for a distant second.
In layman’s term, Marcos is likely to receive almost six votes for every 10 voters while Robredo would be lucky to receive three votes if the elections were held today.
Prior to this, the poll firm’s March 9-14 survey result showed Marcos leading 51% to Robredo’s 21%.
Marcos also leads in all economic classes, but performed well among those under Class E with a 60% in-group preference share compared to Robredo’s measly 16%.
In general, he maintains massive leads as high as 30% voter’s preference in North Central Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao.
Publicus maintained that, “upon considering his numbers in the PQ4 survey conducted last December, it can be inferred that the numbers of Marcos have risen – albeit with a rather gentle slope.”
This was a stark contrast to Robredo’s 23%, which Publicus said was “her highest preference share throughout the election period.”
“It is important to note that her figures was consistent with her numbers all the way back to October 2021,” the poll firm explained.
Aureli Sinsuat, Publicus executive director, stressed that this year’s presidential election will be boring if the survey result will be the basis.
“Nakakapagtaka din na mainit naman itong election campaign based sa nangyayari. Maraming press releases na lumalabas, syempre maraming gulo-gulo din pero ang masasabi ko medyo boring itong presidential election kung ikukumpara natin sa mga nakaraang elections,” Sinsuat said.
He added that Robredo is unlikely to overhaul Marcos’ lead with the little time left.
“Ayoko naman magsalita ng tapos pero kailangan siguro ng miracle para makahabol yung sumusunod sa frontrunner ng presidential at vice presidential race. Hindi ko yun sinasabi dahil yun ang tingin ko kundi dahil yun ang sinasabi ng datos, hindi lang ng datos namin kundi yung datos ng lahat ng survey firms dito sa election na ito at sa historical data ng 2010 at 2016 elections,” Sinsuat said.
The latest survey result released by Publicus Asia is consistent with the results of other reputable poll firms, most notably SWS and Pulse Asia, which indicate a massive win if not a landslide victory for Marcos.
