Incumbents leading Manila congressional race
A latest survey conducted in Manila showed that incumbent congressmen will most likely be reelected in the May 9 elections.
According to the research of Maharlika TV, District 1 Representative Manny Lopez is leading with 39.5% in a three-way race, District 2 Representative Rolan Valeriano with a slight edge of 53.25% in a one-one battle, District 4 Representative Edward Maceda with a high margin of 82.25% voting percentage, District 5 Representative Crystal Bagatsing gaining a 70.25% comfortable lead, and District 6 Representative Benny Abante with 76% wide lead.
Only in District 3, with incumbent Congressman Yul Servo who opted to seek the vice mayoralty position, will there be a new congressman with Councilor Chua leading the race with 58%.
In the mayoralty race, former Rep. Amado Bagatsing is fast catching up with 37.08%. He is second to Vice Mayor Honey Lacuna-Pangan.
As compared to the previous January 2022 research, Lacuna-Pangan lost 16.33%, while Bagatsing gained 11.78.
The other candidates for mayor are trailing far behind — Alex Lopez has 13.91%, Cristy Lim has 1.5%, and Elmer Jamias has 0.15% only.
“It seems, the mayoralty race is now becoming a two-way race between Honey Lacuna-Pangan and Amado Bagatsing,” the Maharlika TV stressed.
The survey was conducted to determine the electorate’s preferences for the May 2022 local elections among candidates for Mayor, Vice Mayor and Congressional Representatives in the six districts of Manila.
The research methodology applied was random sampling, a widely used sampling procedure which defines various parameters for the sample population and allots a predetermined number of samples to represent each distinct grouping in the determination of the total population’s awareness levels and preference selections.
A sample size of 2,400 survey respondents (400 each for the 6 districts of the City of Manila) had been applied, with the survey results multiplied according to comparative ratios determined by the number of registered voters based on the 2022 official COMELEC statistical data.
This survey was conducted through direct personal interviews with respondents from April 1-10,2022 and has a +/-5% margin of error.
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