Based on Luzon-belt survey
FORMER Sen. Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. is the leading choice for President of registered voters based on the latest Luzon-belt survey of the Magdalo group.
In a face-to-face survey conducted last May 19-20, 2021, Marcos garnered 22 percent, followed by Sara Duterte, who got 18.9 percent.
Magdalo party-list Rep. Manuel Cabochan explained that Marcos had the biggest bump in terms of voter preference from the previous survey in February, which was topped by Sara Duterte.
Cabochan, however, stressed that the survey covered only Luzon Belt areas, which include vote-rich Regions 3 and 4, Pangasinan, and the National Capital Region (NCR), and which comprise 40% of the voting population.
Following Marcos and Duterte are Grace Poe with 17.9 percent; Isko Moreno with 10.3 percent; Manny Pacquiao with 8.0 percent; Leni Robredo with 7.3 percent; Alan Peter Cayetano with 4.9 percent; Bong Go and Ping Lacson with 4.1 percent; and Cynthia Villar with 2.5 percent.
The Magdalo in-house survey employed a multi-stage probability sampling design with face-to-face interviews of 1,282 randomly selected respondents, equitably representing the voting population. It has a margin of error of +/- 2.7%.
The respondents were given a list of possible presidential candidates and were asked the question: “Kung ngayon gagawin ang eleksyon sa pagka-Presidente, sino sa mga sumusunod na kandidato ang inyong iboboto?”
Since 2007, the Magdalo group has been conducting pre-election surveys, which they used to predict the unexpected victory of former Senator Antonio Trillanes IV in the 2007 senatorial elections.